US and World Islamic Groups condemn Paris attacks
It is often on the right said that Islamic groups don’t stand up and condemn terrorists.Let us make clear the lie this is:From the the Council on American Islamic Relations and the US Council of...
View ArticleCBS Iowa Poll: Clinton 50, Sanders 45
CBS is out with Yougov polls: which I am REALLY wary of. But as any good poll junkie, I consume all polls like Heroin.www.cbsnews.com/…Let’s start with Iowa Clinton 50, Sanders 45. This is the best...
View ArticleIowa Polling 45 days out: Let the Buyer REALLY beware
Posted previously on Bleeding HeartlandThis is a follow up I posted about 2 months ago about Iowa Polling. This piece is going to look at two things: A review of polling as it gets close to Iowa...
View ArticleDelegate Projection #1: Clinton 2722, Sanders 1330. If Sanders wins Iowa,...
As I did early for the GOP, I have built a Democratic Delegate Projection Model. It is available here.This table shows the basics:Current PollingSanders wins IowaClintonSandersClintonSandersDelegates...
View ArticleNew Poll Suggests Trump Toxicity: People of Color Clearly see a Racist, will...
Should I win a second term a big reason I will win a second term is because the Republican nominee and the Republican Party have so alienated the fastest-growing demographic group in the country, the...
View ArticleNH PPP: Dem Clinton 47, Sanders 44, GOP Trump 29, Rubio 15
A New NH PPP poll came out today. It is shown below with the other polling. Very little movement since the start of December in the prior PPP poll. The variance isn’t that unusual in NH polling this...
View ArticleDelegate Proj #2: Clinton ahead by 1,346, but only by 25 if Sanders wins IA....
This is an update to two prior delegate projections, one for the Democrats and one for the Republicans.DemocratsCurrent PollingIf Sanders wins IowaClintonSandersClintonSandersDelegates before Super...
View Article81% of Democrats Support Single Payer, as well as 58% of all Americans
A reminder, given the discussion about Single Payer that Chelsea Clinton has given rise to:From the Kaiser Health Tracking poll, December 2015: When asked their opinion, nearly 6 in 10 Americans (58...
View ArticleDelegate Proj #3: Sanders first lead if he wins IA. How Sanders can survive...
The barrage of polling this week has had an effect on the delegate projection. For the first time Sanders has taken the lead in the projection if he wins Iowa. DemocratsCurrent PollingIf Sanders wins...
View ArticleOn MLK Day, RFK on political revolution
There is a diary asking what Bernie means by political revolution. It’s an ironic diary written on MLK Day, but RFK summarized what it means for those of us who believe that you can accomplish big...
View ArticleThe same guy responsible for the Flint Water Crisis is running Detroit Public...
In modern day America, incompetence is rewarded. The guys who destroyed the economy made millions from it and were not held responsible.But this really takes the cake:Flint switched water sources in...
View ArticleNew Hampshire: Sanders 60, Clinton 33
Per a tweet by Adam Smith, the St Pete Times veteran political reporter:“Bernie Sanders is leading Hillary Clinton by 27 points in New Hampshire - 60% to 33% - per CNN poll.”So this is a blowout number...
View ArticleGOP Panic Time: Trump over 40, no GOP candidate over 40 pre-Iowa has EVER lost
We interrupt the circular firing squad that is the Democratic Primary (Yes, I’m a participant) to note the CNN Poll this morning that Shows Trump at 41, Cruz at 19, Rubio 8 and the rest below that....
View ArticleIowa Polling 24 hours out: Front runners beware (A history)
This was posted on the blog Bleeding Heartland, a blog on Iowa politics (and honestly the best place to follow the Iowa Caucuses)I write this from a Starbucks in Iowa. I canvassed yesterday for...
View ArticleWhy you cannot audit the Iowa Caucuses - and they are REALLY troubled (A...
This is short. But yea, based on my own personal information. I was a precinct captain for Bernie working in West Des Moines precincts 224 through 226.In every caucus I have been to there is a table....
View ArticleAnd there is your Iowa Bounce: Quinnipiac National Poll: Clinton 44, Sanders 42
I have been making a series of delegate projections. Part of that was an estimate of what would happen if Sanders would win Iowa. Of course he narrowly lost it.But if Quinnipiac is right, he won by...
View ArticleClinton to shake up campaign staff
From Politico:Hillary and Bill Clinton are so dissatisfied with their campaign’s messaging and digital operations they are considering staffing and strategy changes after what’s expected to be a loss...
View ArticleNH Dems supported Single Payer 63-32
About 3 weeks ago I wrote a diary about Single Payer, noting that 81% of Democrats supported it.Since that time the Clinton campaign has launched attacks on the issue. I came to see why they were...
View ArticleDesperation Time: 25 days to stop Trump from getting the nomination (GOP...
Everyone is wrapped up in Nevada — and that includes me. But I am not sure people realize just how close Trump is to the nomination. The SC polling is fluid — and an upset is certainly possible....
View ArticleOn Electability: Sanders runs better than Clinton against Trump in 12 of last...
One of the most often repeated arguments is about electability. Frequently some vague reference is made to McGovern. But the data is REALLY clear: Sanders is at this moment a better candidate than...
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