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Warren blasts SEC chair

As a former Wall Street lawyer, I sometimes am amazed at how unfamiliar people are with the interlocking relationships that exists between large law firms and large financial institutions and...

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Hillary has moved left? REALLY?

There is a front page diary entitled:"Hillary Clinton: To the left, to the left ..."I call bullshit.  Where has she moved left?  Well:She is now for gay marriage.  She used to be against that.  But...

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Why is racism never condemmed as unpatriotic?

In the last few days of 2008 election I wrote about the desperate cry in an email contained by the then GOP chair of Tampa who called black people voting "the Threat". At the time I wondered why racism...

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Always FIGHT!: Today would not have happened had Democrats not fought a...

Justice Kennedy movingly writes: It would misunderstand these men and women to say they disrespect the idea of marriage. Their plea is that they do respect it, respect it so deeply that they seek to...

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Sanders closes gap significantly in Iowa

From Quinnipiac this morning, Sanders is within 19 in Iowa.A summary of recent polling shows Sanders showing incredible momentum in Iowa. I know a fair amount about primary polling history.  This is...

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Hillary's speech today and Bill's acceptance in '92, so similar

The more things change, the more they stay the same.  So I looked at the transcript of Hillary's speech and thought: how much of this was in Bill's '92 acceptance speech? Hillary today:...

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Hillary ducks XL-Pipeline issue: says wait until 2017

At a town meeting in NH, Hillary ducks the XL-Pipeline issue.Hillary is the overwhelming favorite.  Perhaps the only was she can lose the nomination is if people come to see her as so calculating that...

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Sanders within 6 in NH, or how he could take the National lead

The most recent UNH poll (not my favorite pollster, by the way, but so what) finds Clinton leading Sanders 42-36, with Biden at 5 and everyone else at 1 or less.It is amazing how fast New Hampshire...

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The hilarious redstate piece that says everything about Trump

Perhaps the best thing about Trump is they befuddled reaction for wingnut conservative types.  In many ways he is their worst nightmare realized.  This is ironic, since many of these same people deal...

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5 of the last 7 leaders in September went on to lose the Democratic Nomination

It's predictable - every primary season people obsess about national polls thinking they prove something.  In 2007 I wrote something Nate Silver cited repeatedly, but I can see it is forgotten. This...

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A deep dive into Iowa Polling History

This is part of a series on primary polling history.  Over the next three weeks we will do a detailed look at the history of the Iowa Caucuses from 1980 to now.  This piece will start with an initial...

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GOP Post debate poll: Fiorina ties Trump at 22, Rubio in third at 15

I am not a believer that national polls at this point are worth much of anything.  And this is from Gravis, who sucks.Polling at this point is based on very little but the faintest of impressions.  I...

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The single most important polling number this month and a plea to candidate...

I firmly believe most what is written about primary polling is nonsense.  The following from today's UNH New Hampshire Poll shows why: After the end of summer vacations and the return of children to...

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National Poll: Clinton 42, Sanders 35

From NBC and the WSJ, Not a huge believer, or really any believer in National Polls, but I have to say I am stunned.   Here are the recent polls: I say this as undecided voter: the Clinton people need...

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Yes, primary debates can matter a great deal

So in a few hours the Democratic Debate will take place.  Many pundits have been downplaying the debate, suggesting that debates seldom matter in primaries.This is, of course, nonsense.  Rick Perry,...

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US Rep Brendan Boyle says Biden is running

From Bloomberg: Twitter post: “I have a very good source close to Joe that tells me VP Biden will run for Prez” NOTE: Boyle, a Democrat, represents a Philadelphia-area district of Pa. I doubt a US...

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Progressives, The Clintons and the seemingly inevitable seduction

I am at about stage 3 of accepting Clinton as the nominee.  This week reminded me of why they win.But let's start out by saying they shouldn't.  Hillary is the WRONG candidate for this cycle.  Her ties...

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Clinton and Welfare Reform, or does anyone actually care about the poor?

This is an embarrassing diary to write.  I remember when Welfare Reform passed - I remember thinking it was a cave to the worst of America - to the ongoing war on the poor that has been going on since...

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GOP Delegate projection #1: Trump 1284, Carson 882

I was curious about how the GOP selection rules would effect the nomination.  My sense was the GOP rules make the odds bigger than people think that either Carson or Trump would win the nomination.Here...

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The League of Conversation Voters Endorsement: Why it should bother you no...

As the Nation noted, the League of Conservation Voters <a href=”http://www.thenation.com/article/hillary-clinton-lands-key-endorsement-from-league-of-conservation-voters/”>endorsed</a>...

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