CBS Iowa Poll: Clinton 50, Sanders 45

CBS is out with Yougov polls: which I am REALLY wary of.  But as any good poll junkie, I consume all polls like Heroin.

www.cbsnews.com/…

Let’s start with Iowa 

Clinton 50, Sanders 45.   This is the best result by far for Sanders, though it is close to the “Gold Standard in Iowa”: the Des Moines Register poll (which I think is overdone, but whatever).  I am posting a very deep dive into the history of Iowa polling at Bleeding Heartland, and Iowa blog later, but the spread here isn’t out of wack historically.

Part of that piece is below.  Iowa polling 45 days out is REALLY unreliable.

Yougov had Sanders up 10 in September, had Clinton up 3 in October, so this doesn’t really show movement.

I

New Hampshire: Sanders 56, Clinton 42

This suggests movement to Sanders over the last month.   Big picture it appears Sanders lead in September, Clinton got a bounce out of the absurd Benghazi hearings, which in turn has receded. Yougov went from Sanders +15, to Sanders + 7 to Sanders +14.  PPP went from Sanders +7 in August, to Clinton +8 in October to Clinton +2 in December.  Same general movement, the disagreement is over the size of the lead.

By far the best news for Sanders is in South Carolina. Clinton leads 67-31.  It is a sign of just how badly Sanders is doing in South Carolina that this represent an improvement.