New Hampshire: Sanders 60, Clinton 33

Per a tweet by Adam Smith, the St Pete Times veteran political reporter:

“Bernie Sanders is leading Hillary Clinton by 27 points in New Hampshire - 60% to 33% - per CNN poll.”

So this is a blowout number — and until I see another poll I will be skeptical.  

Poll Date Sample MoE Sanders Clinton O'Malley Spread

FLADEM Average	1/4 - 1/18	--	--	51	40.8	3.5	Sanders +7.5
CNN				60	33		Sanders +27
ARG	1/15 - 1/18	600 LV	4.0	49	43	3	Sanders +6
Monmouth	1/7 - 1/10	413 LV	4.8	53	39	5	Sanders +14
FOX News	1/4 - 1/7	386 LV	5.0	50	37	3	Sanders +13
PPP (D)	1/4 - 1/6	480 LV	4.5	44	47	3	Clinton +3
NBC/Marist	½ — 1/7			50	46

So what if Sanders loses Iowa and wins New Hampshire?

Well, you have to ask if he CAN win NH after losing Iowa.  I am not sure — the data from a previous diary is below. 

There are two examples of candidates from next door states who won New Hampshire after losing or not participating in Iowa.

1988

Not directly comparable since this was a multi-candidate field.

Dukakis gephardt pre-NH, post iowa

gordon Black, 

2/10 — 2/13 1988

post-nh

NBC, 2/28 — 3/2

NYT, 2/17 — 2/21

16	20
22	13
29	17

1992

Tsognas got a significant boost out of NH.

Clinton tsongas Pre NH

Gallup, 1/31 — 2/2 1992

Post NH CBS/NYT, 2/21 Gallup, 2/19 — 2/20 Pew, 2/20 — 2/23

42	9
29	24
41	31
32	27