Wow - In Deep Red House District, the Dem is Down Only 3
The background: There is a special election in Pennsylvania for the vacant House seat in District 18. Clinton lost the district by 20, Obama by 17. This is not a seat we really should have a prayer...
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CNN: Dems +16 in the Generic Ballot
CNN’s latest poll has the Dems up 16 (this on heels of a Quinippiac poll a week ago that had the Dems up 15)CNN notes that Democratic issues are dominating:Health care and gun policy are deemed deeply...
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The 36 seats that will determine control of the House
There are 36 Seats that will decide control of the the House.The Math: if there is no polling a projection is made based on the 2016 results using the 2016 incumbent’s margin or the Clinton margin if...
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The Case for a Bigger Blue House Wave
Right now most of the estimates are for the Democrats to win about 30 seats. Some estimates are higher (FiveThirtyEight has a median estimate of 38). My own estimate is for a Democratic gain of 30...
View ArticleClinton-era centrist says it is time to give the Democratic Socialists a chance
Since the financial crisis I have read Brad Delong, an economist and former Deputy Assistant Secretary official under Bill Clinton. He has always said he was a proud “Robert Rubin neo-liberal”.Last...
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NH Journal: The question every candidate is being asked
I am lucky enough to live in New Hampshire. Which means Inot only have the opportunity to see every candidate but often to ask them questions.Some pictures (all my own are at the bottom). There are...
View ArticleJFK speech arguing for Single Payer
We forget sometimes how far right the Party has moved on some things. JFK was no socialist. Yet it would have been inconceivable to him that a Democrat would argue against single-payer. I truly...
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Iowa Expectations: Yes, they REALLY matter
The full article is at Bleeding HeartlandExpectations: Yes, they REALLY matterOf all the Alice-through-the-looking-glass parts of the American political system, the one I have been completely unable to...
View ArticleThe case for Elizabeth Warren
On the eve of what is really the most important debate of the Democratic Primary, I thought it may be of interest to present my own case for Warren. It has been 30 years since I worked for any...
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Florida Projection: Biden +1.79%
In 2016 the Sunday before the election I posted a diary here that looked at the Florida Early voteI am more optimistic today than I was in 2016. Let me explain why.Let’s start with some basic numbers:...
View ArticleNH Residents: Support Joe Biden by writing in his name in the primary
This is a call to action for NH Residents. As many of you are aware Joe Biden will not be on the NH Primary Ballot. We can debate whether or not that is a good thing, but the President has made his...
View Article‘No Way To Prevent This,’ Says Only Nation Where This Regularly Happens
The only thing to say about what happened in Florida is from the Onion.‘No Way To Prevent This,’ Says Only Nation Where This Regularly Happens...
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