In the end, maybe this is the single most important number this cycle. The GOP without Texas would struggle to be a major party. Take Texas and its 36 electoral votes and the GOP would be unlikely to ever break 200, or be competitive.
PPP has a new poll out from Texas. Clinton is down 6, 50-44 in a two way race. But the real news is here:
| +33 | +12 | -32 | |
| -1 | -4 | -37 | |
| -33 | -32 | 8 | |
| 19 | 23 | -38 | |
| 33 | 20 | -30 | |
| 44 | 22 | -26 |
These numbers are shocking. I don’t know if I have ever seen generational numbers like these. Note Obama’s favorable numbers among those under 45 in Texas. There is no question Clinton has some trouble of her own with those under 45. But she blows Trump away.
More basically though, it is hard to avoid the impression that the perception of Obama among younger Texans betrays an enormous change coming in Texas politics.
With Texas it really is a matter of when it turns blue, not if.
The GOP is staring generational obsolescence in the face.
Updated to add the Obama margin in a racce against Trump. He trails by 2, 48-46. He would beat Trump among those under 30 by 70-26!