The first quality poll (RABA has never polled before this cycle) has come out. The details:
The last PPP had Clinton up 4, suggesting the conventions had little effect on the trial heat
| 46 | 41 | 6 | 2 |
| 50 | 45 | ||
| Fav | Unfav | ||
| 45 | 51 | ||
| 36 | 58 |
The nest paragraphs is very important. The undecideds are not moderates: they are largely Bernie Sanders holdouts.
PPP notes:
It's also important to note that most of the remaining undecided pool is very Democratic leaning. They give Barack Obama a 55/33 approval rating, and they'd rather have him as President than Trump by a 59/10 spread. If they ended up voting for Clinton and Trump by those proportions, it would push Clinton's lead up from 5 points to 8. But they don't like Clinton (a 4/83 favorability) or Trump (a 2/89 favorability). A lot of these folks are disaffected Bernie Sanders voters, and even after the successful convention this week they're still not sold on Clinton yet. She and her surrogates will have to keep working to try to win those folks over and if they can the election enters landslide territory