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Wow - In Deep Red House District, the Dem is Down Only 3

The background: There is a special election in Pennsylvania for the vacant House seat in District 18.  Clinton lost the district by 20, Obama by 17.  This is not a seat we really should have a prayer...

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CNN: Dems +16 in the Generic Ballot

CNN’s latest poll has the Dems up 16 (this on heels of a Quinippiac poll a week ago that had the Dems up 15)CNN notes that Democratic issues are dominating: Health care and gun policy are deemed deeply...

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The 36 seats that will determine control of the House

There are 36 Seats that will decide control of the the House.The Math: if there is no polling a projection is made based on the 2016 results using the 2016 incumbent’s margin or the Clinton margin if...

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The Case for a Bigger Blue House Wave

Right now most of the estimates are for the Democrats to win about 30 seats. Some estimates are higher (FiveThirtyEight has a median estimate of 38). My own estimate is for a Democratic gain of 30...

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Clinton-era centrist says it is time to give the Democratic Socialists a chance

Since the financial crisis I have read Brad Delong, an economist and former Deputy Assistant Secretary official under Bill Clinton.  He has always said he was a proud “Robert Rubin neo-liberal”.Last...

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NH Journal: The question every candidate is being asked

I am lucky enough to live in New Hampshire.  Which means Inot only have the opportunity to see every candidate but often to ask them questions.Some pictures (all my own are at the bottom). There are...

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10 years ago tonight: What I saw at a revolution in the Iowa Caucuses

Ten years ago tonight I was in Urbandale Iowa for the Iowa Caucuses.  I got there 1 hour early - I was for Edwards.  Precinct captains met the field staff in the afternoon.  I was handed a packet and a...

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Live Blog: House Bill to avoid shutdown fails in Senate, 5 Dems vote for it,...

Update: I am watching the vote on CNN.   Dem Yes votes: Jones, Manchin, Donnelly, Heitkamp, McCaskillGOP No Votes: Lee, Graham, PaulAll of the Senators in the table below EXCEPT Tester voted yes....

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Can anything save Trump?

Consider three quotes:“It’s the economy stupid” James Carville, 1992 “Events dear boy, Events” Attributed to Harold Macmillan, British Prime Minister“That the prince must consider, as has been in part...

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Budget Deal Raises Defense Spending by More Than the Cost of Making Public...

The numbers should outrage everyone  Just listing them shows what an incredible waste this budget is.  We are continually told we cannot afford decent infrastructure or free university tuition.And...

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Florida Felon Voting Rights Restoration Amedment leads 71-22!

No other single vote in 2018 has the potential to remake the 2020 Electoral College as much as the felon voting rights restoration amendment.  The numbers speak for themselves and I will get into them...

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‘No Way To Prevent This,’ Says Only Nation Where This Regularly Happens

The only thing to say about what happened in Florida is from the Onion. x‘No Way To Prevent This,’ Says Only Nation Where This Regularly Happens...

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Wow - In Deep Red House District, the Dem is Down Only 3

The background: There is a special election in Pennsylvania for the vacant House seat in District 18.  Clinton lost the district by 20, Obama by 17.  This is not a seat we really should have a prayer...

View Article


CNN: Dems +16 in the Generic Ballot

CNN’s latest poll has the Dems up 16 (this on heels of a Quinippiac poll a week ago that had the Dems up 15)CNN notes that Democratic issues are dominating: Health care and gun policy are deemed deeply...

View Article

The 36 seats that will determine control of the House

There are 36 Seats that will decide control of the the House.The Math: if there is no polling a projection is made based on the 2016 results using the 2016 incumbent’s margin or the Clinton margin if...

View Article


The Case for a Bigger Blue House Wave

Right now most of the estimates are for the Democrats to win about 30 seats. Some estimates are higher (FiveThirtyEight has a median estimate of 38). My own estimate is for a Democratic gain of 30...

View Article

Clinton-era centrist says it is time to give the Democratic Socialists a chance

Since the financial crisis I have read Brad Delong, an economist and former Deputy Assistant Secretary official under Bill Clinton.  He has always said he was a proud “Robert Rubin neo-liberal”.Last...

View Article


NH Journal: The question every candidate is being asked

I am lucky enough to live in New Hampshire.  Which means Inot only have the opportunity to see every candidate but often to ask them questions.Some pictures (all my own are at the bottom). There are...

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JFK speech arguing for Single Payer

We forget sometimes how far right the Party has moved on some things.  JFK was no socialist.  Yet it would have been inconceivable to him that a Democrat would argue against single-payer. I truly...

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Iowa Expectations: Yes, they REALLY matter

The full article is at Bleeding HeartlandExpectations: Yes, they REALLY matterOf all the Alice-through-the-looking-glass parts of the American political system, the one I have been completely unable to...

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