More coming, but based on numbers from MSNBC, here is my estimate:
From 8PM Exit PollI am looking for two more pieces of data: the 18-29 share of the vote and the gender gap.
This is basically a dead heat, which suggests the IVR polliing was not as good.
The last three polls showed one, the most Moore, with a different picture of the gender gap. Note the most favorable for Moore showed Moore leading among Women.